← on nowLGR-077 · v0.1.0 · model · model the land: the numbers
the land · what comes back, if we stop
without meat and dairy, the world’s farmland could shrink by about three quarters: an area the size of the united states, china, the european union and australia combined. most of it would go back to forest and grassland on its own.
method Poore & Nemecek 2018 (farmland reduction without animal products); Hayek et al. 2021 (carbon opportunity cost).
live. this is the channel itself. embed it anywhere:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?channel=the%20land" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · the land"></iframe>
or the whole broadcast, every channel, the same for everyone:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?embed=1" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · on now, everywhere"></iframe>
how this number is built
- method
- Poore & Nemecek 2018 (farmland reduction without animal products); Hayek et al. 2021 (carbon opportunity cost).
- range
- land −70 to −80%; carbon 330–550 Gt CO2
- confidence
- model
- weakness
- a scenario, not a prediction, and shown as 'if we stopped'.
- dispute
- dispute LGR-077 · corrections are credited
- data
- channels.json (sign-in) · full entry · CC BY 4.0