← on nowLGR-085 · v0.1.0 · model · count plague: the numbers
plague · Yersinia pestis, still here
the black death killed a third to a half of europe in four years, 1347 to 1351. it came from rodents, by flea. it is still here: about one to two thousand cases a year, in madagascar, congo, peru, and a few in the american west, from prairie dogs and squirrels.
method WHO reported cases; historical mortality from Bramanti et al. 2016.
live. this is the channel itself. embed it anywhere:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?channel=plague" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · plague"></iframe>
or the whole broadcast, every channel, the same for everyone:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?embed=1" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · on now, everywhere"></iframe>
how this number is built
- method
- WHO reported cases; historical mortality from Bramanti et al. 2016.
- range
- 1,000–3,000 cases/yr
- confidence
- count
- weakness
- reporting varies; Madagascar dominates.
- dispute
- dispute LGR-085 · corrections are credited
- data
- channels.json (sign-in) · full entry · CC BY 4.0