← on nowLGR-062 · v0.1.0 · model · model How many people are killed by heat each year?
humans · Homo sapiens
killed by heat
490,000
a year
0.016
a second
1,342
a day
of them, from the warming we caused
180,000
a year
5.70e-3
a second
493
a day
method Zhao et al. 2021 (heat deaths ~490k); Vicedo-Cabrera et al. 2021 for the anthropogenic share (~37%).
- cold still kills more people than heat, about 4.6 million a year. that is falling. this is rising.source: Zhao et al. 2021, Lancet Planetary Health; Vicedo-Cabrera et al. 2021
- the people who die of heat are mostly old, poor, and outdoors: farm workers, builders, the unhoused.source: WHO; ILO
live. this is the channel itself. embed it anywhere:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?channel=humans" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · humans"></iframe>
or the whole broadcast, every channel, the same for everyone:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?embed=1" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · on now, everywhere"></iframe>
how this number is built
- method
- Zhao et al. 2021 (heat deaths ~490k); Vicedo-Cabrera et al. 2021 for the anthropogenic share (~37%).
- range
- 400,000–600,000/yr; attributable share 20–50%
- confidence
- model
- weakness
- attribution studies cover a subset of countries; the site applies the share globally.
- becomes a feed
- OpenAQ, air in ten thousand cities right now
- dispute
- dispute LGR-062 · corrections are credited
- data
- channels.json (sign-in) · full entry · CC BY 4.0