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extinctions: how much, per second and per year

extinctions · species gone for good
gone forever · modeled
500
a year
1.58e-5
a second
1
a day
recorded, since 1500
~900

no ledger. most species were never named, so most extinctions are never recorded. the two columns disagree by a factor of hundreds; that is the finding.

method modeled rate set mid-literature (~500 species/yr); documented count from the IUCN Red List (EX + EW).

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