← on nowLGR-070 · v0.1.0 · model · estimate drug resistance: the year you were born, and now
drug resistance · deaths a year directly attributable
born 1950 ? → 1 200 000 deaths a year no ledger. nobody was counting when you were born.
method GRAM estimates 1990–2021; forecast to 2050 from Naghavi et al. 2024.
born 1970 ? → 1 200 000 deaths a year no ledger. nobody was counting when you were born.
the first global estimate is for 1990. by 2050 the forecast is about 1.9 million a year, nearly double.
born 1990 1 000 000 → 1 200 000 deaths a year by 2050, about 1.9 million a year. nearly double.
most of the world’s antibiotics by volume go to animals. the farm share of these deaths is unquantified, not zero.
born 2010 1 096 551 → 1 200 000 deaths a year by 2050, about 1.9 million a year. nearly double.
most of the world’s antibiotics by volume go to animals. the farm share of these deaths is unquantified, not zero.
live. this is the channel itself. embed it anywhere:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?channel=drug%20resistance" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · drug resistance"></iframe>
or the whole broadcast, every channel, the same for everyone:
<iframe src="https://thetoll.earth/?embed=1" width="100%" height="520" style="border:1px solid #D9DDDB" title="the toll · on now, everywhere"></iframe>
how this number is built
- method
- GRAM estimates 1990–2021; forecast to 2050 from Naghavi et al. 2024.
- range
- as above
- confidence
- estimate
- weakness
- no data before 1990, shown as a dash.
- dispute
- dispute LGR-070 · corrections are credited
- data
- channels.json (sign-in) · full entry · CC BY 4.0